Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.053541 0.058133 0.062782 0.067834 0.073162 0.078606 0.084583
2025-03-16 0.048367 0.055310 0.062585 0.070747 0.079620 0.088947 0.099465
2025-03-23 0.043655 0.052302 0.061639 0.072405 0.084413 0.097331 0.112217
2025-03-30 0.039600 0.049515 0.060518 0.073518 0.088341 0.104604 0.123684
2025-04-06 0.035635 0.046416 0.058692 0.073524 0.090778 0.110043 0.133003
2025-04-13 0.033321 0.044988 0.058576 0.075310 0.095105 0.117529 0.144599
2025-04-20 0.030017 0.042090 0.056482 0.074556 0.096300 0.121287 0.151834
2025-04-27 0.027709 0.040223 0.055459 0.074928 0.098701 0.126359 0.160538
2025-05-04 0.026217 0.039257 0.055433 0.076420 0.102373 0.132890 0.170946
2025-05-11 0.025191 0.038801 0.055973 0.078554 0.106794 0.140306 0.182426
2025-05-18 0.022244 0.035607 0.052858 0.075952 0.105262 0.140464 0.185157
2025-05-25 0.020477 0.033888 0.051542 0.075536 0.106362 0.143748 0.191609
2025-06-01 0.018781 0.032202 0.050237 0.075135 0.107526 0.147203 0.198421
2025-06-08 0.018223 0.032100 0.051036 0.077486 0.112212 0.155060 0.210705
2025-06-15 0.017364 0.031500 0.051118 0.078860 0.115642 0.161375 0.221140
2025-06-22 0.016441 0.030743 0.050932 0.079844 0.118549 0.167039 0.230799
2025-06-29 0.015249 0.029496 0.049994 0.079752 0.120011 0.170859 0.238163
2025-07-06 0.014737 0.029267 0.050477 0.081591 0.124019 0.177933 0.249646
2025-07-13 0.013488 0.027787 0.049083 0.080769 0.124441 0.180390 0.255297
2025-07-20 0.012670 0.026945 0.048577 0.081151 0.126451 0.184879 0.263529
2025-07-27 0.012227 0.026692 0.048922 0.082720 0.130061 0.191451 0.274441
2025-08-03 0.011987 0.026762 0.049743 0.084972 0.134614 0.199277 0.287004
2025-08-10 0.010537 0.024651 0.047152 0.082222 0.132241 0.197983 0.287806